Buscaraons
17.8.04
 

La victòria referendària de Chavez: els pistoler ho espatlleran


Els pistolers pro-chavistes macularan amb sang la victòria referendària de Chavez. Ahir, hi havia reportages amb video de una dona ferida amb una bala. Aquest dematí miran el tiqui-tiqui de CNN, hi havia un breu de trets des d'un cotxe que passava per uns manifestant anti-chavistes. Segon que llegixo, le referendum no ha resolt res i àdhuc hauria empitojart la situació. Pel moment, s'ha de veure de propre pero amb calma como evolucionarà la situació a causa que Chavez ha guanyat el referendum i l'OAS i el Centre Carter han confirmats que no hi havia cap frau ni altres greus violacions electorals.

Com Franciso ha escrit que si Chavez realment haugés guanyat límpidament el referendum, hi haura molts comptes a rendir i dimissions massives de la part de l'oposició per aquest macança gravíssima de lideratge. Ademés Chavez es el polític latinoamericà amb més sort que un gat amb nou vides. A veure si realment aprofitarà aqueixa victòria per amillora la sort dels pobres.

Actualitizacio ¡Ostres! Com evoluciona les coses. Franciso ara pretén que hi hagut un frau massiu per massiu. Segon el té moltes preguntes de les quals no es poden repondre. Per a mi el més problematic son els sondatges. Tots aquells apuntaven a una victòria del SI (es en favor de truere Chavez del poder) i Franciso observa que la reacció de les forces del NO (es a dir que Chavez continuïi com a president del país)

Donc algu no quadra. O sia els sontages estaven equivocats- cosa poc inversembable tenint en compte que hi hagué 5 i tots coincidien al mateix resultat o sia un frau massiu. SI hagués un frau, ¿Com es això que ni el Centre Carter ni l'OAS hagin pogut detectar? O pitjor ¿Perqué acceptaren les condiciones imposades pel CNE si aquest dues institucions son independents? Com he dit més amunt es una situació que s'ha de mira de propre.


The American troop redeployment from Europe: end of the Spanishreal estate bubble?


My North American readers will stratch their heads and wonder how on earth, the troop pullout from Germany will cause the real estate market to crash. Very simple; Germany is Europe's economic motor and the troop pull out will cause a deflationary wave that will lower real estate prices throughout the country.

Further geiven the continent economic interdependency as well as the Eutropact, Germany's defationary wave will ripple outward and hit France, then Spain. In the case of Spain, the construction boom is reaching its limits, there's only so many renovations that can be carried out as well as the odd new building constructed. The market is ripe for a massive correction to bring the prices to a more realistic level. Right now one of the biggest social problems for Gen X is that it can't afford to buy/rent an apratment so marriage and families are delayed. A lot of mid 30 kids still live with their parents because it's simply impossible

So once the American troops start pulling out the economic effects will be felt rather imediately. Unfortunately, the Western Europeans won't be able to do much because the Europact prohibits them from raising or lowering interest rates- that's the Eurobank's competency.

However, the situation isn't so bleak, I see the troop withdrawal as the necessary jolt to Europeans to reassess everything and implement new ideas. How knows? Perhaps the Europeans must close the productivity gap and compete just as effectively as American.

 
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